Subscription and demo access

About Interfax
Press Releases
Products & Services
Contact Us
Customer Login


08/29 17:59   Naftogaz head learns of Gazprom proposal on gas price from social network
08/29 17:57   Lukoil to continue increasing dividends for now - VP (Part 2)
08/29 17:55   Putin asks not to blame German people for Hitler's misdeeds
08/29 17:55   Russia criticizes report by UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine
08/29 17:51   Consultations on vital regional issues are organized with U.S., Iran - Lavrov
08/29 17:51   Putin's electoral support reaches 71% by late August - Public Opinion Foundation
08/29 17:50   TV main source of info for most Russians on Ukraine events; over half believe it is unbiased - poll
08/29 17:46   FESCO swings to IFRS net loss of 670 mln rubles in H1 (Part 2)  |  Interfax news  |  Scotland's independence could have serious...

News headlines

July 02, 2014 19:00

Scotland's independence could have serious economic, even military, political consequences - Russian expert

MOSCOW. July 2 (Interfax) - Currently the number of people supporting Scotland's independence is lower that the number of those opposed, however the situation could change in ten weeks prior to the referendum, Head of the Center for British Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences' Institute of Europe, Yelena Ananyeva, said.

"I suppose that for now the situation is not in favor of Scotland's independence. In April sociological polls showed that the share of people supporting and opposed to independence were almost the same and was at the level of statistical error. But in May the share of independence supporters went down," Ananyeva told Interfax on Wednesday.

During the time left until the referendum it is difficult to forecast the balance of affection and dislike regarding the region separating from the UK, however the number of both parties will definitely grow, the expert said.

"The share of supporters and those opposed will grow now as the share of those undecided will decline. For now it is hard to conclude based on poll results, which will not give a full picture after all. It is one thing to answer as a respondent during a survey and a different one to approach the ballot box and to drop the bulletin," Ananyeva said.

The victory by Scottish nationalists during previous elections to the regional parliament should not be tied with the popularity of the independence idea among Scots, she said.

"The Scottish National Party won at the elections to the regional parliament in 2011 not because the population supported independence but because of Labor party is losing. Scotts are disappointed in the Labor Party. Back then the Scottish National Party received 47% of votes. While 33% supported independence," Ananyeva said.

At the same tine, the Scottish National Party has quite a strong political rival in the Scottish parliament - the union of three leading parties Better Together, which always have their arguments against independence, the expert said.

"A big campaign 'for/against' separating from the UK is underway in Scotland. The Scottish parliament listens to both parties. All three leading parties - conservatives, laborites and liberal democrats - have united in the Better Together movement. It concerns what will be beneficial for Scotland from the economic viewpoint and what will not. Independence supporters talk about oil reserves in the North Sea sweeping the Scottish coastline, while those opposed note that these reserves will last 40 years," she said.

Official London has recently started taking the situation with the coming referendum much more seriously, Ananyeva said. "First London did not treat this seriously. It can not be ruled out that soon emotional tensions regarding this will be higher and populist talks will be stronger," she said.

According to Ananyeva, the previous maneuver by British Prime Minister David Cameron, which allowed decreasing political potential of Scottish nationalists, should be taken into account. "Scottish National Party Leader Alex Salmond wanted the referendum ballot to have two questions - on independence and on expanding powers of the regions within the UK. But David Cameron excluded the second question, having put the question on dependence point-blank and, thus, having taken away the opportunity to blackmail London constantly from independence supporters. And now, if the independence idea is not supported at the referendum, then the issue will be removed, at least for the coming generation," she said.

Since the Scottish National Party supports Scotland's membership in the European Union and NATO, both unities have said already that in case of independence the new state would have not seek membership from the very beginning, the expert said.

At the same time, one aspect unpleasant for NATO exists if Scotland secedes from the UK. "The Scottish National Party says that Scotland will remain in NATO but will remove nuclear weapons from its territory. These are submarines with nuclear missiles located at a navy base in Scotland. Of course, no one in the Alliance accepts this," Ananyeva said.

The independence referendum of Scotland, which was part of the UK since 1707, will take place on September 18, 2014. If independence supporters prevail, the new state will be proclaimed on March 24, 2016.

ez mk

(Our editorial staff can be reached at

You can access a demo version of, receive more information about or subscribe to Interfax publications by filling in and returning the form below. We also have dozens of reports in the Russian language, please indicate if you are interested.



First name:


Last name:


Central Asia & Caucasus Business Weekly
Central Asia General Newswire
Global Gas Analytics
Global Natural Gas Daily
Interfax Via Bloomberg Terminal
Kazakhstan General Newswire
Kazakhstan Mining Weekly
Kazakhstan Oil & Gas Weekly
Russia & CIS Announcements
Russia & CIS Banking and Finance Weekly
Russia & CIS Business and Financial Daily
Russia & CIS Business and Financial Newswire
Russia & CIS Business and Investment Weekly
Russia & CIS Business Law Weekly
Russia & CIS Business news
Russia & CIS Defense Industry Weekly
Russia & CIS Diplomatic Panorama
Russia & CIS Energy Daily
Russia & CIS Energy Newswire
Russia & CIS Events Calendar
Russia & CIS Food and Agriculture Weekly
Russia & CIS General Newswire
Russia & CIS Headline News
Russia & CIS Insurance Weekly
Russia & CIS IT and Telecom Weekly
Russia & CIS Metals and Mining Weekly
Russia & CIS Military Daily
Russia & CIS Military Newswire
Russia & CIS Military Weekly
Russia & CIS Oil and Gas Weekly
Russia & CIS Presidential Bulletin
Russia & CIS Statistics Weekly
Russia Health & Pharmaceuticals
Russia Market Roundup
Russia Press Review
Ukraine Business Daily
Ukraine Business Weekly
Ukraine General Newswire

August 29, 2014
FESCO swings to IFRS net loss of 670 mln rubles in H1 (Part 2)
Sanctions can't help achieve political goals - Iranian foreign minister
Nearly 800 soldiers killed in east Ukraine - official
Putin expects recognition of Crimea as part of Russia to take long time (Part 2)
Reports claiming death of 100 Russian servicemen in Ukraine nonsense - Russian Defense Ministry source
Russia demands end to provocations against diplomatic staff in Ukraine (Part 2)
Kyiv denies NATO arms supplies to Ukraine
Russia to defend own interests in Arctic, ready for compromises - Putin
Russia not interested in fuelling tensions in eastern Ukraine, wants peaceful settlement - Slutsky
Sanctions can't help achieve political goals - Iranian foreign minister
Nearly 800 soldiers killed in east Ukraine - official
Lukoil borrowing limit for 2014 $3.8 bln, $3 bln already taken (Part 2)
Russia political and economic calendar: August 31 - September 30
 more headlines 


Pakistani Ambassador to Russian Zaheer Aslam Janjua has given an interview to Interfax in which he speaks about prospects for supplying more Pakistani food products to Russia, the quality of such products and invites Russian companies to implement infrastructural projects in Pakistan.

John Padilla, managing director of consultants IPD Latin America, talks to Interfax about Colombia’s investment climate.

Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas signals readiness for compromise and praises Russia’s role in settling conflict in Middle East in an exclusive interview with Interfax


 ©   1991—2014   Interfax Information Service. All rights reserved.
contact information   |   Interfax offices   |   made by web.finmarket

News and other data on this site are provided for information purposes only, and are not intended for republication or redistribution. Republication or redistribution of Interfax content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Interfax.

Browse other Interfax sites:   |   IFX.RU   |   Interfax Group   Rambler's Top100